The Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2) face the New Orleans Saints (2-4) on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 9:30 AM ET at Stade de France in Saint-Denis, France. It is the NFL's first regular season game on French soil, a milestone the league is treating as a test case for expanding its European protocol beyond London and Germany.
According to NBC Sports, DraftKings lists Pittsburgh as a 3.5-point favorite (-102), with the moneyline at Steelers -180 and Saints +150. The total sits at 44.5 after opening at 41.5 with a Pittsburgh spread of -1.5. Early money moved both numbers past key thresholds.
What the data says about Pittsburgh
The Steelers arrive on a two-game win streak with 60 points scored in that span, and they have put up at least 24 points in four consecutive games. Aaron Rodgers has thrown at least two touchdowns in four straight, an 11:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio over that stretch, and has hit seven different receivers for scores this season.
The defense held Tampa Bay to 224 yards and 3.1 yards per play last week, adding five sacks and two interceptions in a 26-19 overtime win. Pittsburgh runs the fifth-most zone coverage in the league at 82.4%, a variable worth tracking against New Orleans quarterback Tyler Shough, whose completion percentage, passer rating, and catchable rate all drop against zone compared to man coverage.
Jaylen Warren has commanded 85% or more of the running back snap share even with Rico Dowdle back from injury, per NBC Sports' game breakdown.
What the data says about New Orleans
The Saints snapped a three-game losing streak by outlasting the Giants 34-27. Shough threw three touchdowns and ran for a fourth, tying a season high, while Kendre Miller turned a season-high 20 carries into 70 yards. The defense recorded three interceptions, a fumble recovery, and five sacks.
The fourth quarter exposed a fault line. New York backup J.J. McCarthy threw for 243 yards in the final frame, tying a franchise record held by Eli Manning, across three consecutive scoring drives. The Saints' pass defense gets a softer test this week: Rodgers is averaging 6.7 yards per pass attempt.
Shough's season splits explain the volatility. He averaged 300.7 yards per game with 10 total touchdowns and three interceptions through four contests, then 120 passing yards over his last two. He leads the league with 206 pass attempts and ranks top five in deep ball attempts, and New Orleans runs the second-most pass plays per game (45.0) at the third-fastest pace.
Expert pick for Steelers vs Saints
Vaughn Dalzell of NBC Sports backs Shough to clear his passing props: over 23.5 completions and over 35.5 pass attempts.
“Over the last four games, all four quarterbacks have gone over their completions and pass attempt props against the Steelers: Joe Burrow, Deshaun Watson, Daniel Jones, and Jalon Daniels. I think Shough can add his name to the list, especially with his running back struggles this season.”
He notes that Alvin Kamara is not at full strength and that Miller is unlikely to see 20 carries again.
Betting trends and neutral field history
- Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS and 4-2 to the Over.
- New Orleans is 3-3 ATS and 4-2 to the Over.
- The Saints are 3-0 ATS in three neutral site games since 2014.
- Pittsburgh is 1-0 ATS, straight up, and to the Over in its lone neutral site game since 2014.
- As underdogs, the Saints are 2-1 ATS and 1-2 on the moneyline.
- As favorites, the Steelers are 3-1 ATS, 3-1 on the moneyline, and 3-1 to the Over.
Sports Illustrated confirms Pittsburgh as the Week 7 favorite, while BetMGM lists a spread of Steelers -2.5 at -150 on its board, a slight variance from the DraftKings number that sharp bettors will note. Squawka's Signal model rates the Steelers as clear favorites despite the neutral venue.
Injury report
New Orleans will be without wide receivers Mason Tipton (leg, out) and Jordyn Tyson (hamstring, IR), plus running back Travis Etienne (hamstring, IR). Cornerbacks Kool-Aid McKinstry (illness) and Quincy Riley (neck), linebacker Kaden Elliss (calf), guard Cesar Ruiz (knee), and nose tackle Nathan Shepherd (illness) are all questionable.
Pittsburgh placed wide receivers Michael Pittman (foot) and Roman Wilson (finger) and safety DeShon Elliott (hamstring/knee) on IR. Cornerback Donte Kent (ACL) is out, while receiver Ben Skowronek (calf) and corner Brandin Echols (hamstring) are questionable.
How to watch Steelers vs Saints
- Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
- Time: 9:30 AM ET
- Site: Stade de France, Saint-Denis
- TV/Streaming: NFL Network
New Orleans enters its bye week after the game, so some Saints players may linger in France. Pittsburgh hosts Cleveland the following week in a revenge spot.
FAQ
Where is the Steelers vs Saints Week 7 game being played?
At Stade de France in Saint-Denis, France, the NFL's first regular season game in the country.
What are the odds for Steelers vs Saints?
DraftKings lists the Steelers as 3.5-point favorites at -102, with a moneyline of -180 for Pittsburgh and +150 for New Orleans, and a total of 44.5.
Who is favored in Steelers vs Saints?
Pittsburgh is favored across major books and by prediction models, including Squawka's Signal model.
